HDB Financial Shares Make Strong Market Debut With 13% Premium; Analysts Optimistic On Long-Term Growth

Nothing 2025 07 02T122245.793

HDB Financial Services Ltd, the non-banking financial subsidiary of HDFC Bank, made a robust debut on Indian stock exchanges today, listing at a 13% premium to its issue price, reflecting strong investor demand for quality NBFCs with a diversified retail lending portfolio. The stock opened at Rs 1,243 on NSE against the issue price of Rs 1,100, underscoring market confidence in HDB’s earnings growth and strategic alignment with HDFC Bank.


Listing Day Summary

ParticularsDetails
Issue PriceRs 1,100
Listing PriceRs 1,243
Intraday HighRs 1,255
Intraday LowRs 1,228
Closing PriceRs 1,240
Listing Premium13%
Market Cap On Listing~Rs 80,000 crore

Source: NSE data


IPO Subscription Details

HDB Financial’s IPO witnessed robust demand across investor categories, getting oversubscribed by 7.5 times overall.

CategorySubscription (times)
Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIB)9.2
Non-Institutional Investors (HNI)6.4
Retail Individual Investors (RII)5.7
Employees3.2
Total7.5

About HDB Financial

HDB Financial Services, incorporated in 2007, is a leading NBFC engaged in:

  • Retail Lending: Personal loans, gold loans, business loans, auto loans.
  • LAP & SME Financing: Significant portfolio from Tier 2 & 3 cities.
  • Collections & BPO Services: Via subsidiary operations for third-party clients.

As of March 2025, HDB operated ~1,350 branches across 950 cities, with an employee base of over 40,000.


Key Financial Metrics (FY25)

ParticularsFY25FY24YoY Change (%)
Total IncomeRs 16,480 croreRs 14,900 crore+10.6
Net ProfitRs 2,250 croreRs 1,875 crore+20.0
Gross NPA3.1%3.8%Improved
Net NPA1.6%2.2%Improved
AUMRs 86,000 croreRs 78,000 crore+10.3
ROE14.2%12.8%+140 bps

Market Expert Commentary

Motilal Oswal Financial Services:

“HDB Financial’s strong distribution network, granular retail book, and low net NPA profile make it a high-quality NBFC. We expect loan growth to accelerate to 15-17% CAGR over FY25-28 as the economy expands.”

Edelweiss Securities:

“Post listing, valuations appear reasonable. HDB trades at 2.1x FY25 book value, at a discount to Bajaj Finance (7x) and Cholamandalam Finance (4.2x), offering re-rating potential if profitability improves.”


Why Did HDB Financial Shares Rally On Listing?

  1. Strong Parentage: As a subsidiary of HDFC Bank, HDB benefits from brand credibility, access to capital, and managerial expertise.
  2. Improving Asset Quality: NPAs have steadily declined post-COVID, reflecting effective risk management.
  3. Diversified Product Portfolio: Well-spread exposure across secured and unsecured retail loans.
  4. Stable Profitability: Consistent net profit growth of ~20% CAGR in last three years.

NBFC Sector Outlook

NBFC SegmentGrowth DriversOutlook (FY26)
Personal LoansUrban consumption recoveryStrong
Business LoansMSME credit gap, formalisationRobust
Gold LoansRural liquidity needsStable
Vehicle LoansAuto sector revivalImproving

Analysts expect the NBFC sector to grow at ~14-15% CAGR till FY28, driven by economic expansion, consumer credit demand, and financial inclusion push.


Peer Comparison

CompanyAUM (Rs crore)FY25 Net Profit (Rs crore)Gross NPA (%)ROE (%)P/BV (FY25)
HDB Financial86,0002,2503.114.22.1x
Bajaj Finance2,10,00013,5001.521.07.0x
Cholamandalam Finance1,45,0003,8002.219.44.2x
Shriram Finance1,85,0005,4006.115.71.6x

Source: Company filings, brokerages


Future Strategic Plans

  1. Branch Expansion: Targeting 1,500 branches by FY27 to deepen presence in semi-urban and rural markets.
  2. Digital Lending Growth: Strengthening tech platforms for faster disbursements and low-cost operations.
  3. Capital Efficiency: Improving leverage and cost-to-income ratios via operational optimisation.

Analyst Recommendations

BrokerageRecommendationTarget Price (INR)Key Rationale
ICICI SecuritiesBuy1,380Strong growth, attractive valuation
Axis CapitalHold1,250Awaiting further clarity on margins
Kotak InstitutionalBuy1,420Declining NPAs, high parent synergy

Risks Ahead

  • Competition From Banks & Fintechs: NBFCs face pricing pressures amid aggressive digital lending platforms.
  • Interest Rate Volatility: Rising rates could increase cost of funds and compress margins.
  • Regulatory Tightening: RBI norms on NBFC asset classifications and provisioning could impact profitability if not managed prudently.

Investor Sentiment

Investor appetite for high-quality financial services IPOs remains robust in 2025, as seen from recent strong listings like:

Recent NBFC IPOs (2025)Listing Premium (%)
Aavas Financiers FPO+9.6
Five Star Business Finance+11.2
HDB Financial+13.0

Conclusion

HDB Financial’s listing at a 13% premium underscores market confidence in its retail-focused lending model, strong parentage, and improving asset quality. While near-term re-rating will depend on loan growth acceleration and digital transition, long-term prospects remain bright amid India’s credit boom and NBFC sector expansion.

As FY26 approaches, investors will closely watch earnings momentum, cost control, and competitive positioning to assess HDB Financial’s journey from a stable lender to a market leader in the retail NBFC segment.


Disclaimer:
This news content is based on public market data, company filings, and brokerage research. It is meant for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are advised to consult SEBI-registered financial advisors before making any investment decisions.

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