Cement Sector Demand Revives as Prices Decline in Q3FY26: Nuvama Report

Nuvama Report

India’s cement industry witnessed a revival in demand during the third quarter of FY26, according to a detailed report by Nuvama Wealth Management. The sector, which had faced sluggish demand and price pressures earlier in the year, saw volumes rise by approximately 7% year-on-year across 15 major companies. The revival was largely attributed to declining cement prices, which boosted consumption in both trade and non-trade segments.


Key Highlights from Q3FY26

  • Volume Growth: Cement demand rose ~7% YoY, driven by infrastructure projects and housing demand.
  • Price Decline: Prices corrected in October–November 2025, widening the gap between trade and non-trade segments.
  • EBITDA Trends: EBITDA per tonne rose 9% YoY due to cost savings, though sequential margins dipped.
  • Mixed Performance: While demand improved, realizations remained under pressure, impacting profitability.

Sectoral Performance Snapshot

CompanyVolume Growth (YoY)Price TrendEBITDA Impact
UltraTech CementStrong double-digit growthPrices under pressureMargins stable
Ambuja CementsHigh single-digit growthDecline in trade pricesSequential dip
Shree CementRobust growthNon-trade prices fellCost savings supported
Dalmia BharatModerate growthRegional price correctionMargins resilient
JK Lakshmi CementImproved demandPrices declinedMargins impacted
JSW CementExpansion-led growthPrice pressureSequential decline

Comparative Analysis: Demand vs Price

FactorQ2FY26Q3FY26Outlook
Demand GrowthFlat to moderate~7% YoY increaseExpected to remain strong
Price MovementStable to risingDeclined in Oct–NovLikely recovery in Q4
EBITDA MarginsSequentially strongSlight dipCost efficiency to support
Infrastructure PushModerateStrongContinued government spending

Drivers of Demand Revival

  1. Infrastructure Projects: Government-led road, housing, and urban development programs boosted consumption.
  2. Housing Sector: Affordable housing demand surged as prices corrected.
  3. Seasonal Factors: Post-monsoon construction activity picked up pace.
  4. Price Correction: Lower cement prices encouraged higher offtake in trade and non-trade segments.

Outlook for FY26

  • Price Recovery Expected: Analysts anticipate a rebound in cement prices in Q4FY26 as demand remains strong.
  • Volume Growth Continuity: Infrastructure-led demand and housing projects will sustain growth momentum.
  • Cost Efficiency: Companies focusing on logistics and energy efficiency are expected to maintain margins.
  • Positive Sentiment: Overall industry outlook remains optimistic with supportive government policies and benign inflation.

Analytical Perspective

The Nuvama report highlights a classic demand-price dynamic in the cement sector. While declining prices initially pressured margins, they simultaneously revived demand, creating a positive volume trajectory. The challenge for companies will be balancing profitability with competitive pricing.

The sector’s revival underscores the importance of infrastructure spending and housing demand in driving growth. With government initiatives continuing, cement companies are expected to benefit from sustained demand, though price volatility remains a risk.


Disclaimer

This article is a synthesized news analysis based on publicly available industry reports and financial updates. It is intended for informational purposes only and does not represent official company statements or investment advice. Readers are advised to consult verified financial sources before making business or investment decisions.

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