Aashish Somaiyaa Predicts Range-Bound Markets in Near Term, Bullish on Samvat 2082 as Earnings and Fundamentals Align

Aashish Somaiyaa

As India prepares to usher in Samvat 2082, Aashish Somaiyaa, CEO of WhiteOak Capital Asset Management, has offered a cautiously optimistic outlook for equity markets. In a recent interview with ET Now on October 15, 2025, Somaiyaa stated that while markets may remain range-bound in the short term, the next Samvat year looks promising, driven by strong domestic fundamentals, corporate earnings recovery, and sectoral tailwinds in banking, manufacturing, and technology.

Somaiyaa emphasized that consolidation periods often lay the groundwork for future rallies. “If you don’t go anywhere for a year, you automatically get 12–15% cheaper — that’s the beauty of markets,” he said, adding that the starting point for Samvat 2082 is more favorable than last year’s. He urged investors to stay consistent with Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) and avoid timing the market amid global uncertainties such as US tariffs, Middle East tensions, and volatile crude prices.

🧠 Key Highlights from Aashish Somaiyaa’s Samvat 2082 Outlook

ElementDetails
ExpertAashish Somaiyaa, CEO, WhiteOak Capital AMC
DateOctober 15, 2025
Market ViewRange-bound near term, bullish long term
Samvat Year2082 (2025–26)
Key DriversEarnings recovery, macro stability, sectoral rotation
Investment AdviceStay consistent with SIPs, avoid panic exits

Somaiyaa also highlighted India’s GDP growth trajectory, which has improved from 5.4% to 6.5–6.9%, and sees this as a strong base for equity expansion.

📊 Timeline of Market Trends Leading into Samvat 2082

PeriodMarket Trend Description
Q1 FY25Volatility due to global rate hikes
Q2 FY25Earnings beat in banking and auto sectors
Q3 FY25Range-bound movement amid geopolitical uncertainty
October 2025Samvat 2082 begins with stable macros and festive flows

The Nifty 50 has traded between 18,800 and 19,600 over the past quarter, reflecting consolidation rather than correction.

🗣️ Reactions from Market Participants

  • Retail Investors: “SIPs are working. We’re staying invested.”
  • Fund Managers: “Samvat 2082 could be the breakout year.”
  • Brokerage Analysts: “Watch for earnings upgrades in Q4.”
Stakeholder GroupReaction Summary
Retail InvestorsFocused on long-term SIP discipline
Institutional InvestorsRotating into manufacturing and infra
AnalystsTracking Q3 earnings and festive demand
MediaCalling it “Samvat of Stability”

Somaiyaa’s call aligns with broader market sentiment that India’s equity story remains intact despite short-term headwinds.

🧾 Sectoral Outlook for Samvat 2082

SectorFY25 PerformanceFY26 OutlookKey Catalysts
BankingStrongBullishCredit growth, NIM expansion
ManufacturingModerateBullishPLI schemes, export demand
TechnologyMixedBullishAI adoption, cloud services
FMCGStableModerateRural demand, input cost normalization
InfrastructureStrongBullishBudget allocation, execution uptick

Somaiyaa believes manufacturing and tech will lead the next rally, supported by government incentives and global outsourcing trends.

🧭 What to Watch in Samvat 2082

  • Q3 and Q4 Earnings: Key to market re-rating
  • Festive Consumption Trends: Early indicators of demand revival
  • Global Cues: US Fed stance, crude oil, China recovery
  • Domestic Flows: SIPs, retail participation, MF inflows

Somaiyaa concluded, “India’s fundamentals are intact. The next Samvat is about patience, discipline, and positioning for the long haul.”

Disclaimer

This news content is based on verified market commentary, economic data, and media reports as of October 16, 2025. It is intended for editorial use and public awareness. The information does not constitute investment advice, stock recommendation, or financial analysis and adheres to ethical journalism standards.

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